WEATHER IN LINCOLN COUNTY

 

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Weather or Not: The Ides of October Storm

Chris Burns WeatherFriday, Oct. 14th – Lincoln County

Summary: Forecasters were close to target yesterday as the rain, which began in the early morning, continued for much of the day and southerly winds stayed light until around noon before picking up. The strongest breeze blasted its way through the Central Coast between 3:00pm and 7:00pm before subsiding. Newport Airport recorded the highest local gust at 59 mph, while Mary’s Peak in the Coast Range clocked 83 mph. Rainfall totals were around 2 inches with Waldport picking up closer to 3 inches. By midnight, it was all over but the lightning; lots of flashes were seen offshore through the early morning hours, and the waxing gibbous Moon played peek-a-boo through broken clouds. By daybreak, the wind had ramped up again gusting into the 40s and there were numerous showers in the area.

Newport Airport Conditions…
Ceiling: scattered @ 800′, broken @ 1,100′ & 3,300’
Visibility: 5 miles/Wind: SSW 29 mph G 45/Pressure: 29.34”

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain/Storm Total…
Lincoln City: 62F/55F/55mph/2.10”/3.02”
Depoe Bay: 61F/53F/51mph/2.31”/2.98”
Newport: 61F/54F/59mph/1.86”/2.31”
Waldport: 65F/54F/49mph/2.82”/3.31”
Yachats: 63F/55F/56mph/2.08”/2.69”

Watches, Warnings and Advisories…

wxonwarning-nws-swsA High Wind Watch has been issued by the National Weather Service, in effect from Saturday afternoon through Saturday evening. Strong damaging winds are likely Saturday afternoon and evening, with gusts 75-90 mph. Strongest winds would be on exposed headlands. These winds will also contribute to building a deadly and dangerous surf zone. This is not the time to be on the beaches or rocks. Impacts could include sporadic power outages, downed tree limbs and possibly entire trees. Tree debris on roads may hinder travel. High profile vehicles should avoid travel late in the afternoon into the early evening.

A Hurricane Force Wind Watch remains in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday evening for coastal waters. After a lull in the winds late today and early Saturday, southerly winds increase rapidly during the day tomorrow. Expect winds of 40-50 knots with gusts 60-65 knots from late Saturday morning through the evening. Seas on Saturday will build rapidly above 20 feet during the day. They are expected to peak around 28-32 feet by Saturday evening.

Forecast: It is unusual for the Pacific Northwest to be preparing for a named storm. But that’s the case now with the National Weather Service referring to tomorrow’s impending blow as the Ides of October Storm. First, however, we’ll get a bit of a break today. Winds ‘just’ 20-30 mph gusting 40-50 with showers and a chance of thunderstorms, precip totals between a half and wxon-windy-rainythree-quarters of an inch. Ditto for tonight. High today 55-60F and lows overnight 50-55F. Tomorrow, well, a lot of uncertainty remains for the Ides of October Storm. It depends on where it makes landfall, so here are the ranges of what’s possible. Sustained southerly winds will most likely be around 30-40 mph. Gusts are a different story. If the storm comes ashore up north off Vancouver Island, gusts could be 60-70 mph here on the Central Coast. However, if the center of the system hits near the Columbia River (one of the scenarios), gusts of 75-90 mph are probable. We will continue to monitor the track of this storm and provide updates here on News Lincoln County. The breeze should begin subsiding by tomorrow night and be down to 20-30 mph by Sunday. And, because this weekend’s storm has remnants of Typhoon Songda entrained in it, total rainfall through the period could reach another 3-5 inches. Outlook is for showers Monday, rain Tuesday, a chance of showers Wednesday, and showers likely on Thursday. Average temperatures are expected with highs around 60F and lows about 50F.

Travel: In the Coast Range this morning, there’s wet pavement and 45-50F in the passes; showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms today, temperatures 55-60F. Willamette Valley destinations are expecting showers, south winds gusting 25-30 mph, and the thermometer rising to 60F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for showers, southwest winds gusting 25-30 mph, high of 55F. For the Cascades, highways are wet this morning, temps around 40F; showers and windy today, the snow level is above the passes at 6,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is wet and very windy in all areas through Sunday night with the Cascades snow level dipping to about 5,500 feet late in the weekend. * Travelers should visit ODOT’s TripCheck website before hitting the highway.

Marine: It’s still rough out there with S winds 25-30 knots and steep seas 18 feet at 16 seconds. A Gale wxon-galeWarning remains in effect through 1:00pm this afternoon. A Hurricane Force Wind Watch is in effect from tomorrow morning through evening. SW winds today 25-30 knots gusting 40 and seas building to 22 feet at 14 seconds. Tonight, breeze and seas subside a little with SW wind 20-25 knots gusting 35 and swells around 19 feet dropping to 16 feet at 14 seconds after midnight. Tomorrow, S winds rising to 45-55 knots gusting 70 knots in the afternoon, combined very rough seas building to 30 feet at 14 seconds. Outlook is for sou’westers 20-25 knots Sunday through Tuesday with choppy seas 12-15 feet. * Always check the latest Bar Reports before you venture offshore.

On the Beach… Showers and windy, surf 15-20 feet (high).
* Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches. These areas may be periodically inundated by surf, especially during high tides. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
* Tides
10/14 Fri 11:38 AM 8.51 H
10/14 Fri 05:45 PM 0.27 L
10/15 Sat 12:00 AM 8.22 H
10/15 Sat 05:57 AM 0.38 L

In Short: Stormy, then showers and breezy.

 

 

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