Summary: For the first half of yesterday, you’d never know we were on the cusp of a parade of major storms. Sunshine, light winds and temps in the upper-50s to low-60s lasted well through lunchtime. By afternoon, however, it didn’t take a rocket scientist to realize that the atmosphere was turning ominous and that something was definitely brewing. The breeze, though light, came from the south and dark overcast settled in for the duration of the day. The first raindrops arrived on the Central Coast before sunset and continued falling with varying intensity throughout the evening and overnight, and the southerlies picked up. It was still raining this morning with wind gusts 30-40 mph.
Newport Airport Conditions…
Ceiling: scattered @ 600′, overcast @ 1,500′
Visibility: 4 miles/Wind: S 22mph G28/Pressure: 29.58”
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain/Gust…
Lincoln City: 60F/50F/0.92”/30mph
Depoe Bay: 57F/49F/0.67”/34mph
Watches, Warnings and Advisories…
The High Wind Warning issued by the National Weather Service remains in effect from 2:00pm this afternoon until midnight tonight. Winds rapidly increasing early this afternoon on the Central Coast, spreading north through the rest of the day. Coastal headlands and open beaches will see south winds 40-50 mph with gusts 65-75 mph. Coastal communities and sheltered areas can expect south winds 25-45 mph with gusts 55-65 mph. Peak winds are predicted to arrive between 4:00pm and 9:00pm. Impacts may include sporadic power outages, downed tree limbs and possibly entire trees. Tree debris on roads may hinder travel. High profile vehicles should avoid travel late in the afternoon into the early evening. Outlook for Friday and Saturday: another round of winds albeit not as strong is likely on Friday. But a strong storm on Saturday could bring higher and potentially more damaging winds.
A High Surf Advisory is in effect from 4:00pm this afternoon until 3:00am Friday for the Central Coast. Seas building to 18-22 feet. Large breaking waves will have a tendency to occur farther from shore and in areas where they are not typically observed. Sneaker waves are possible and have the capability to run considerably farther up the beach than average waves with little or no warning, knocking people off their feet and pulling them out to sea. In addition, beach erosion will be possible.
A Storm Warning is in effect for the offshore waters of the Central Coast from 2:00pm this afternoon until 2:00am tomorrow morning. Details in the Marine forecast below.
Forecast: In the immortal words of Nobel Prize winner Bob Dylan, “You don’t need a weatherman to know which way the winds blows.” But, of course, direction is not the only factor. The strength of the winds expected this afternoon through tonight could reach 30-40 mph gusting 60 in our coastal communities with 2-4 inches of rain predicted. High temp today around 60F and overnight lows dip slightly to 50-55F. Easing conditions are projected for tomorrow with sou’westers down to 20-25 mph gusting 40 or so and about half an inch of rain. Outlook is for the next big storm to arrive on Saturday packing south winds 35-45 mph gusting to 70 along with another inch or two of rain. This storm will have remnants of Typhoon Songda entrained in it. Sunday and Monday, rain turns to showers with lighter winds, another storm is possible on Tuesday and then showers likely Wednesday. Expect seasonal temperatures throughout the period with highs of 60F and lows around 50F.
Travel: In the Coast Range this morning, there’s wet pavement and 45-50F in the passes, a High Wind Warning is in effect for this afternoon through this evening for gusts to 55 mph, heavy rain at times with 1-2 inches possible, and temperatures 55-60F. Willamette Valley destinations are expecting rain, south winds gusting 30-40 mph, and the thermometer rising to 60-65F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for rain, possibly heavy at times with 1-2 inches accumulation, light northeast winds 5-10 mph, high of 55-60F. For the Cascades, highways are wet this morning, temps around 45F; rainy and windy today, the snow level is well above the passes at 8,000 feet. * Travelers should always visit ODOT’s TripCheck website before hitting the highway.
Marine: Breeze and seas are already ramping-up offshore this morning with southerlies 25-30 knots and waves 12-13 feet at 9 seconds. A Gale Warning is in effect until 2:00pm this afternoon. A Storm Warning is in effect from 2:00pm this afternoon through late tonight. South winds rising to 35-45 knots with gusts to 60 knots by this afternoon and rough seas building to 17 feet at 16 seconds. Tonight, southerlies 35-45 knots gusting 55, easing after midnight, combined seas 25 feet at 17 seconds. Southwest winds tomorrow 20-30 knots, rough seas 19 feet at 16 seconds. Outlook is for possible hurricane force winds on Saturday, S 40-50 knots gusting 65, along with dangerous seas building to 25-30 feet or even higher. Sunday, SW winds 20-25 knots, seas down to 22 feet, and for Monday, sou’westers 20-25 knots with swells around 13 feet. * Always check the latest Bar Reports before you venture offshore.
On the Beach… Rainy and very windy, surf 18-22 feet (high).
* A High Surf Advisory is in effect (see details above). Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches. These areas may be periodically inundated by surf, especially during high tides. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
10/13 Thu 10:58 AM 7.90 H
10/13 Thu 04:57 PM 1.23 L
10/13 Thu 11:07 PM 7.86 H
10/14 Fri 05:13 AM 0.37 L
In Short: Stormy through Tuesday.