Friday, Nov. 13th – Lincoln County
Summary: The first weather system in the current series arrived just after lunch yesterday bringing some light rain and increasing winds. By sunset, it was up to speed as southerlies increased to 20-25 mph with higher gusts and the rain became heavier and steadier. It rained on and off overnight and the breeze continued unabated. Overall precipitation amounts by early today on the Central Coast varied from under a quarter of an inch to nearly an inch at Lincoln City; the main band of rain associated with this front came ashore north of us and just barely clipped our northern area. At dawn, it was still windy but the rain had eased up.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain…
Lincoln City: 57F/47F/27mph/0.83”
Depoe Bay: 55F/41F/33mph/0.46”
A Special Weather Statement has been issued by the National Weather Service for significant rainfall possible through Saturday night over portions of Northwest Oregon. The primary rain will shift south and east as a cold front across the area tomorrow and tomorrow night. This may bring a period of heavy rainfall. Breezy winds with the front will strip leaves off trees and contribute to clogged storm drains. This may lead to ponding of water on the roadways in addition to localized flooding. 1 to 2 inches of rainfall are expected across the area through Sunday night.
A High Surf Advisory has been issued by the National Weather Service for the Central Oregon Coast in effect from noon today through midnight tonight. West to northwest swells 17 to 19 feet with periods around 17 to 18 seconds will spread into local waters this afternoon and continue this evening. Wave heights will peak late this afternoon and evening. Avoid walking on jetties, rocks, coastal cliffs and along the water’s edge as waves may rise unexpectedly and sweep you into turbulent and frigid waters.
A Special Weather Statement has been issued by the National Weather Service for the best snow potential since last Winter for the Cascade highway passes Sunday through Monday. Modest rains will continue today through Saturday evening. An additional 1 to 3 inches of rain is possible with the bulk of it occurring as a strong cold front crosses the Cascades late Saturday night. Snow levels will dramatically lower below the passes late Saturday night, ultimately falling to around 2,000 feet near daybreak Sunday. Cold moist air under westerly flow will likely bring several inches of snow to the Cascade highway passes Sunday morning through Monday afternoon. Snow accumulations will be spread out over those two days but could be heavy enough at times to produce periods of hazardous driving conditions. 10 to 13 inches of snow will be possible over the course of the 36 hour period at pass elevations. Up to 20 inches is possible at higher elevations.
Forecast: With all of these latest weather announcements, it sounds like a Friday the 13th alright. Rain is likely today, high around 55F and sou’westers 15-25 mph gusting 35. There should be a short break from the rain late this afternoon through midnight before the heaviest precipitation arrives and the breeze starts building. Tomorrow, heavy rain at times and southerly winds rising to 25-35 gusting as high as 50. Outlook is for more heavy rain tomorrow night, showers and possible thunderstorms Sunday, rain Monday and Tuesday, and then a chance of rain/showers Wednesday and Thursday. Highs 50-55F, lows 45-50F.
Travel: In the Coast Range, there’s wet pavement on the passes this morning with temperatures near 40F; a chance of rain, breezy today and 55-60F. Valley destinations are expecting a chance of rain, the thermometer rising to 55-60F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for rain, southwest winds 15-25 mph gusting 30, a high of 55F. For the Cascades, the highways are wet, temps 35-40F; a 50-50 chance of rain, the snow level is well above the passes at 7,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is windy and rainy in all of Northwest Oregon but a plummeting snow level, dropping below the Cascade highway passes by tomorrow night, accompanied by considerable snowfall, could make driving in the mountains hazardous through Sunday night; carry chains or traction tires.
Marine: Winds are SW 15-20 knots gusting 25 this morning and rough seas have risen to 12 feet at 11 seconds. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect through 7:00pm this evening and then it is replaced by a Gale Watch in effect until Saturday evening. SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30 today with swells 12 feet building to very rough seas 18 feet at 14 seconds. Tonight, southerlies increasing to 25-30 knots gusting 35 with combined seas 20 feet. The S wind rises further tomorrow to 30 knots gusting 40 and square seas 15 feet at 15 seconds. Outlook is for NW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30 on Sunday, very steep seas 15 feet at 13 seconds, and then sou’westers 20-25 knots Monday and Tuesday with swells 12-13 feet. Always check the latest Bar Reports before you venture offshore.
On the Beach… Some rain, breezy, surf 15-25 feet (high).
* See High Surf Advisory above, and be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
11/13 Fri 06:37 AM 3.10 L
11/13 Fri 12:38 PM 8.74 H
11/13 Fri 07:19 PM -0.49 L
11/14 Sat 02:01 AM 7.43 H
In Short: Rain likely, moderate wind, then heavy rain, very windy and continued stormy.