Saturday, October 31st – Lincoln County
Summary: Precipitation totals are already between an inch and an inch and a half with the heaviest rain still to come during the second storm in the series today. It looks like predictions of 2-4 inches overall by Sunday night will be close. Yesterday’s rain was not downpour-heavy, but light, steady and soaking. The thick overcast was obscured most of the day by damp fog cutting visibility to less than a mile at times. Temperatures didn’t fluctuate much, basically hovering around 60F, and the sou’westers blew in the 30s with Yachats recording one gust of 41 mph; Mary’s Peak had the peak Coast Range gust, 61 mph. This morning, it was drizzling and southerly winds were 20-25 mph gusting 35.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain/Storm Total Rain…
Lincoln City: 61F/59F/39mph/1.01”/1.70”
Depoe Bay: 60F/57F/35mph/1.42”/1.58”
A Special Weather Statement has been issued by the National Weather Service for locally heavy rain and gusty winds through this evening. The heaviest rain will come this afternoon and evening. The most likely issue to arise with the heavy rain is expected to be urban flooding as storm drains clogged with leaves may cause water to accumulate quickly on roadways, in parking lots and in other low lying areas. Watch for pedestrians and bicyclists who will be difficult to see in dark and rainy conditions. Rain will turn to showers late today and tonight.
Winds are expected to pick up again today. Wind gusts of 40-50 mph along the coast and to 35 mph inland are expected again this afternoon. Normally these winds would not be of concern, but with very wet soils it is possible a couple of trees could be knocked over. Any fallen trees could cause isolated power outages.
Snow levels will lower Sunday night and Monday for this season’s first accumulating mountain snowfall down to the Cascade highway passes. Only minor accumulations are expected.
Seas will build along the coast today and tonight with surf possibly reaching close to 20 feet Sunday.
Forecast: The second part of the double whammy arrives this afternoon with heavy rain expected, as much as another 1-2 inches, and southwest winds 30-35 mph gusting 40-50. About the only hope for our local witches, warlocks, ghosts, ghouls and goblins this evening is that the heavy rain turns to showers earlier than anticipated, which currently is predicted to be around 11:00pm on the Central Coast; the breeze will probably be past its peak by 4:00pm but still blowing 25-35 mph through midnight. Tomorrow, the steady rain evolves into showers, thunderstorms are possible, it’ll still be quite breezy and rainfall amounts up to half an inch are on tap. Outlook is for a 50-50 chance of showers Monday, mostly cloudy Tuesday, mostly sunny Wednesday, foggy Thursday and a chance of rain again Friday. Cooler, with highs 50-55F and lows of 40-45F all week.
Travel: In the Coast Range, there’s wet pavement on the highways this morning, pass temperatures are 55-60F; heavy rain, very windy today and 60-65F. Valley destinations are expecting rainy and windy conditions, the thermometer rising to 65F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for heavy rain (1-2 inches), southwest winds gusting 25 mph, high of 60F. For the Cascades, it’s wet on the highway passes this morning, temps 45-50F; rainy and breezy with gusts to 50 mph today, the snow level is above 8,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is wet roads with ponding water, windy, and snow is possible on the Cascade highway passes tomorrow night.
Marine: SW winds are 25-30 knots this morning and seas have reached 10 feet at 16 seconds. A Gale Warning is in effect through this evening for southerlies 25-30 knots gusting 40 and combined rough seas building to 14 feet at 10 seconds. Tonight, SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30, seas 13 feet at 11 seconds. Winds increasing again tomorrow to SW 20-25 knots gusting 30 and large combined seas 19-20 feet at 14 seconds. Outlook is for a shift to N winds 15-20 knots gusting 25 on Monday with seas subsiding to 12 feet, and then northerlies 10-20 knots Tuesday and Wednesday, swells dropping from 9 feet to 7 feet. Always check the latest Bar Reports before you venture offshore.
On the Beach… Rainy, breezy, surf 8-12 feet (moderate).
* The surf will be rather high and unpredictable this weekend, possibly building to near 20 feet by tomorrow. Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches. These areas may be periodically inundated by the waves, especially during the mid-afternoon high tides. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
10/31 Sat 09:27 AM 2.82 L
10/31 Sat 03:32 PM 8.77 H
10/31 Sat 10:14 PM -0.65 L
11/01 Sun 04:02 AM 7.47 H
In Short: Heavy rain, very windy, showers, then slow clearing, cooling and drying.