WEATHER IN LINCOLN COUNTY

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Weather or Not: The Return of El Niño

Chris Burns Weather

Saturday, Mar. 7th – Lincoln County

Summary: The rubber stamp was in use yesterday with conditions almost identical to Thursday as thin high clouds made a futile attempt at keeping the Sun at bay. High temperatures rose to 55-60F, albeit Lincoln City blew past that and recorded an anomalous 64F. Light northwest winds barely ruffled beachgoers shirts through the afternoon hours. There’d been some discussion in earlier forecasts about a marine cloud layer possibly making it to shore last night; well, it did, arriving shortly after dark. The overcast, along with some patchy fog, hung on during the night and into this morning. The mercury slipped into the 40s. At daybreak, it was cloudy and calm.

Past 24 Hours High/Low…
Lincoln City: 64F/47F
Depoe Bay: 55F/45F
Newport: 54F/41F
Waldport: 60F/42F
Yachats: 59F/46F

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Forecast: Get a nap today, if you can. We’ll be losing an hour of sleep tonight as our clocks spring forward for Daylight Saving Time. The cloud deck is supposed to burn off quickly today with clearing skies, light winds and the mercury heads for WON PARTLY CLOUDY60F. Patchy fog, otherwise generally clear tonight, low about 45F. Tomorrow and Monday, patchy fog early, becoming mostly sunny with highs around 60F. Outlook is for a change beginning Tuesday as a weather system nudges its way in with increasing clouds, rain Wednesday, a chance of rain Thursday, mostly sunny Friday, then rain again next weekend. Expect continued unseasonably warm temperatures between 45F and 60F. Meanwhile, in the long, long-term, we’ll be dealing with an El Niño this Spring and Summer (see Weather Factoid below).

Travel: In the Coast Range today, mostly sunny with 65F. Valley destinations are expecting patchy fog then sunshine and highs of 65-70F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for patchy fog early, sunny skies later, light west winds, temps around 65F. For the Cascades, there is bare pavement on the passes this morning, temperatures are 25-30F; mostly sunny, the free air freezing level is at 9,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is mostly clear with dry pavement through Sunday night in all of Northwest Oregon including the mountains.

Surface Rescue

Call or email George today!

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 35”; a loss of 1” since yesterday; an overall loss of 2” in the past seven days; 74” less than this date last year; 92% below the 30-year average Snow Water Equivalent (total amount of moisture in the snow pack).

Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Hoodoo 0”/3”/closed
Willamette Pass 0”/1”/closed
Mt. Bachelor 0”/50”/firm packed, Summit lift open
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/1”/tubing only
Mt. Hood Meadows 0”/32”/granular early, spring later
Timberline 0”/49”/enjoy a great day of riding

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Marine: Meager seas this morning, 4 feet at 14 seconds, and winds are NNE 5-10 knots nearshore gusting 15 knots well WON MARINE WXoffshore. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Visibility should be the only issue early today with some patchy fog and low clouds, otherwise N winds 5-10 knots rising to 10-15 knots gusting 20 this afternoon through tonight with 4 foot swells and 3 foot chop. Tomorrow and Monday, patchy fog, N winds 10-15 knots and 4 foot swells. Outlook is for much rougher weather Tuesday and Wednesday with southerlies rising to 20-25 knots and combined seas quickly building from 4 feet to 11 feet.

On the Beach… Becoming mostly sunny, light breeze, surf 4 feet (low).
* For a safe and enjoyable time on the Central Coast, the Oregon Parks & Recreation Department offers these Beach Safety Tips.
* Tides
03/07 Sat 07:04 AM 1.50 L
03/07 Sat 01:08 PM 7.70 H
03/07 Sat 07:13 PM 1.08 L
03/08 Sun 01:32 AM 8.03 H

goingductlesswithrickandjane.com

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In Short: Low clouds, patchy fog, clearing, light winds, then overcast and wet.

Weather Factoid: Is an El Niño the cause of this Winter’s warm weather? Not really, no. The long-anticipated 2015 El Niño has just arrived, according to meteorologists with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, and it is extremely weak. In their updated monthly outlook released this week, forecasters issued an El Niño Advisory to declare the onset of the ocean-atmospheric phenomenon marked by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the Central Pacific Ocean near the equator. Due to the puny strength of this El Niño, widespread or significant weather changes are not anticipated. The Climate Center says it is likely (a 50-60% chance) that El Niño conditions will continue through the Spring and Summer, but little if any impact is expected in the Pacific Northwest. The last very strong El Niño was in 1997-1998. It generated heavy precipitation and caused strong ocean currents that significantly eroded beaches along the Oregon Coast. As for this year, the El Niño is likely too little too late to cause damage or to provide any relief for the dismal snow pack in the Cascades.

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