Thursday, Feb. 5th – Lincoln County
Summary: It was a ho-hum one yesterday with cloudy skies, light winds and highs in the upper-50s; Yachats hit 61F. Mellow conditions continued through the evening and until just after midnight when the rain arrived from Round 1 of the predicted bout of storms headed this way. The wind showed up around 3:00am, blowing out of the south at 25-35 mph. Gusts so far this morning have been close to projections at 40 mph in our communities, but stronger on the beaches and headlands. Cape Meares had a blast of 82 mph, it hit 72 mph on Mary’s Peak in the Coast Range, and the US Coast Guard Station at Cape Blanco recorded a gust of 67 mph. Precipitation totals so far are under a quarter inch. At daybreak, the breeze was fading with light to moderate rain.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain…
Lincoln City: 58F/51F/40mph/0.22”
Depoe Bay: 56F/49F/34mph/0.18”
Advisories/Warnings: The National Weather Service has continued its High Wind Warning for the Central Coast until 10:00am this morning near beaches and headlands for south winds 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph. In coastal communities, south wind 15-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph.
A Special Weather Statement is still in effect for a series of weather systems which will bring periods of occasionally heavy rain and gusty winds to the Central Coast continuing through Monday of next week. After today’s storm, another wave of rain and wind is expected tonight, followed by another on Friday, both of which could again produce winds approaching high wind criteria near the coast. Both waves will also likely bring more rain that could be heavy at times. Another surface low is forecast to move northeast along the coast on Saturday for additional possibly heavy rain and strong coastal winds. One more low is expected on Monday, possibly the strongest of the series, that could bring wind to both the coast and the inland valleys, again with more rain. Rainfall totals for the period through Monday could reach 5-7 inches along the coast.
Forecast: The breeze should be easing before lunchtime to 25-30 mph but there could be additional rainfall of up to half an inch today. Round 2 of the storm bout is expected tonight as winds return at 25-30 mph gusting to 40 and up to an inch of rain. Round 3 comes tomorrow when the breeze is projected to build again to 35-40 mph gusting as high as 55 and rain gauges may fill by another inch or so. Outlook is for Round 4 on Saturday into Sunday with south winds 30-40 mph gusting 50 and rain, possibly heavy at times. Round 5 barrels in late Sunday night and Monday with an addition blast of windy and rainy conditions. Unseasonably warm temperatures through the period stay between 50F and 60F. Some clearing, drying and light winds are on the horizon, finally, next Tuesday and Wednesday.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, rain, possibly heavy, windy with highs around 55F. Valley destinations are expecting rain, light winds and a high of 55F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for rain, possibly heavy at times, breezy, temps 50-55F. For the Cascades, there is wet pavement on the highway passes this morning, temperatures are 35-40F; rainy and windy, the snow level is at 7,500 feet.
Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 33”, no change since yesterday; a gain of 1” in the past seven days; 38” less than this date last year; 87% below the 30-year average Snow Water Equivalent (total amount of moisture in the snow pack).
Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Willamette Pass 0”/3”/closed
Mt. Bachelor 0”/41”/wide variety
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/1”/closed
Mt. Hood Meadows 0”/33”/wet packed
Timberline 0”/28”/wet packed
Marine: It’s rough this morning with S winds 25-35 knots gusting 40 and steep combined seas 18 feet at 10 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Gale Warning is in effect through tomorrow afternoon. Southerly winds 25-35 knots gusting 45 today and tonight with rough seas continuing to build to around 22 feet by this evening. For tomorrow, winds ease to S 25-30 knots during the afternoon but combined seas remain in the 18-22 foot range. Outlook is for S winds 25-40 knots through Monday with rough seas 15-18 feet.
Notice to Mariners… The North and South Jetties at the Columbia River Entrance have suffered severe deterioration and may no longer be correctly represented on nautical charts of the area. Mariners should use caution when transiting in the vicinity of the jetties and the river entrance. The US Army Corps of Engineers has scheduled critical repairs of the North Jetty for June 2015 through October 2016, and rehabilitation of the South and North Jetties is scheduled for the years 2016 through 2019. More information may be found at the USACE Portland District’s Columbia River Entrance website here.
On the Beach… Rainy and windy, surf 18-20 feet (high).
* Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches. These areas may be periodically inundated by surf, especially during this afternoon’s high tide. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
02/05 Thu 06:50 AM 2.71 L
02/05 Thu 12:43 PM 8.44 H
02/05 Thu 07:16 PM 0.23 L
02/06 Fri 01:49 AM 7.89 H
In Short: Stormy, then stormy.