Wednesday, Feb. 4th – Lincoln County
Summary: Mostly cloudy yesterday, a big sunbreak midday and light east winds.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain…
Lincoln City: 57F/49F/0.15”
Depoe Bay: 53F/46F/0.21”
Advisories/Watches: The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement for a series of weather systems which will bring periods of occasionally heavy rain and gusty winds to much of Southwest Washington and Northwest Oregon beginning later tonight and continuing through Monday of next week. These systems will have a connection to subtropical moisture and will be quite wet, but breaks between the individual systems may be enough to keep area rivers within their banks. The first in the series of systems will approach tonight and move through on Thursday. This system will likely produce gusty winds especially near beaches and exposed coastal headlands where wind gusts to 60 mph are possible. Another wave of rain and wind is expected Thursday night, followed by another on Friday, both of which could again produce winds approaching high wind criteria near the coast. Both waves will likely bring more rain that could be heavy at times to the area as well. Another surface low is forecast to move northeast along the coast on Saturday for more possibly heavy rain and more coastal winds. Some of the south winds may extend into the inland valleys as well on Saturday. One more low is expected on Monday, possibly the strongest of the series, that could bring wind to both the coast and the inland valleys again with more rain. Rainfall totals for the period through Monday could reach 5-7 inches along the coast, in the coastal mountains and in the Cascades, with 2-3 inches or a bit more in the valleys.
The National Weather Service in Portland has also issued a High Wind Watch near beaches and headlands, which is in effect from late tonight through Thursday morning. For beaches and headlands, south winds 25-35 mph with gusts to 60 mph. Coastal communities, south wind 15-30 mph with gusts to 45 mph. The winds will make it difficult to be on beaches and near headlands.
Forecast: Mild and fairly benign conditions will kick-start our Hump Day, but then all hell breaks loose by late this evening. There’s a chance of a little rain this afternoon, highs of 55F or so, and moderate southeast winds. Rain and wind ramp-up significantly tonight; look for up to a half inch of precipitation, a southerly breeze of 15-25 mph gusting 40 and low temps around 50F. Tomorrow, the next storm in a days-long series is projected to deliver up to an inch of rain and south winds 30-35 mph gusting 50. Outlook is for rain, possibly heavy at times, and strong southerly winds Thursday night through Monday. There could/should be short breaks between the storms with lighter rain, some partial clearing and less wind. Above normal temperatures are projected to continue with highs of 55-60F and lows of 50F.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, mostly cloudy, a chance of rain with highs 50-55F. Valley destinations are expecting patchy fog, a chance of rain and a high of 55F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for rain likely, light east winds, temps near 50F. For the Cascades, there are spots of ice at Santiam and Willamette Passes this morning but bare pavement at Government Camp; chance of rain early, partly sunny later, the snow level is at 6,500 feet.
Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 33”, a gain of 2” since yesterday; no overall change in the past seven days; 36” less than this date last year; 87% below the 30-year average Snow Water Equivalent (total amount of moisture in the snow pack).
Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Willamette Pass 0”/3”/closed
Mt. Bachelor 0”/41”/wet packed
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/1”/closed
Mt. Hood Meadows 4”/33”/wet packed
Timberline 5”/28”/wet packed
Marine: Winds are SE 5-10 knots nearshore but blowing SW 15-20 knots offshore with seas 7 feet at 12 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted, probably for the last time in quite a while. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect from 10:00am this morning through early this evening. A Gale Warning goes into effect this evening and runs through early Friday evening. S winds 10-15 knots gusting 20 rising to 20-25 knots gusting 30 this afternoon and windwaves building to 6 feet atop a 7 foot swell. Tonight, expect southerlies 25-35 knots escalating to 30-40 knots gusting 45-50 and combined rough seas 15 feet at 10 seconds. The blow continues tomorrow with S winds 30-35 knots gusting 45 and combined seas reaching 20 feet or higher. Outlook is for southerlies 30-35 knots gusting 45 on Friday with combined steep seas 18 feet. Saturday and Sunday, S winds remaining 25-35 knots and seas holding at 18 feet. A possibly stronger storm could impact local waters on Monday.
On the Beach… Mostly cloudy, rain late, breezy, surf 7-8 feet (moderate).
* High surf is possible beginning tomorrow and lasting through the weekend as seas reach or exceed 20 feet. A storm surge up to 2 feet is also expected Thursday and Friday resulting in abnormally high tides. South-facing exposed coastal areas will be especially vulnerable to damage at and around the midday high tides.
02/04 Wed 06:13 AM 2.88 L
02/04 Wed 12:07 PM 8.71 H
02/04 Wed 06:46 PM -0.02 L
02/05 Thu 01:20 AM 7.80 H
In Short: Mainly cloudy, chance of rain, then very wet and windy.