Tuesday, Feb. 3rd – Lincoln County
Summary: Like getting over the flu, yesterday was an exercise in slow but steady recuperation after a bout of rain early. The precipitation ended by mid-morning and around noon there were already a few sunbreaks appearing. The mercury rose to well above normal; Waldport hit 60F for the highest temp locally. Winds were mostly light easterly with a few gusts into the teens. Skies became hazy during the evening but that didn’t thwart the nearly Full Snow Moon from beaming through (it reaches full at 3:09pm this afternoon). Clear skies prevailed during much of the night until another weather system checked-in around 4:00am unloading a few more hundredths of rain. At daybreak, there was light rain and east winds less than 10 mph.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain…
Lincoln City: 58F/48F/0.12”
Depoe Bay: 58F/45F/0.09”
Forecast: A short break is on tap from later today through tomorrow before some real barnburners come roaring in off the ocean. Rain subsides today, the thermometer climbs to 55F and winds should be light. Look for mostly cloudy skies but mainly dry tonight and tomorrow with temps 45F to 55F and very little breeze. Outlook is for a series of potentially powerful storms to batter us the rest of the week. On Thursday, expect over a half inch of rain and south winds rising to 25-35 mph gusting 50. A Pineapple Express heavy rain event is possible Thursday night and Friday accompanied by strong winds. More rain, but not as heavy, Saturday and early Sunday before another big one comes barreling into the Central Coast sometime late Sunday. Temps through the period, 50-60F.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, rain with highs around 50F. Valley destinations are expecting rain and a high of 50-55F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast calls for rain, light winds, temps near 50F. For the Cascades, there is slush and snow pack at Santiam Pass this morning but bare pavement at Government Camp and Willamette Pass; rain and snow developing with the snow level near the passes at 4,500 feet and 2-5 inches of snow possible today. Carry chains or traction tires.
Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 31”, a loss of 1” since yesterday; an overall loss of 2” in the past seven days; 34” less than this date last year; 87% below the 30-year average Snow Water Equivalent (total amount of moisture in the snow pack).
Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Willamette Pass 0”/18”/closed
Mt. Bachelor 1”/42”/wet packed
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/1”/closed
Mt. Hood Meadows 0”/29”/hard, icy spots
Timberline 0”/28”/wet packed
Marine: Winds have relaxed to variable 5-15 knots this morning and seas are 9 feet at 12 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to recreational vessels 26 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. SE wind backing to NE this afternoon, 5-10 knots gusting 15, with the swell around 8 feet at 13 seconds. Tonight, expect easterlies 5-15 knots, swells 7 feet at 12 seconds. Conditions begin ramping up tomorrow with a SE breeze rising to 20-25 knots by afternoon and choppy 5-6 foot seas. Outlook is for strong winds and high seas later this week and late this weekend.
The National Weather Service has issued a Special Marine Weather Statement: “An active weather pattern will begin late Wednesday night and continue through the weekend. A series of strong Pacific frontal systems will bring strong winds and high seas to the waters at times. The first system spreads a strong warm front through the waters late Wednesday and Wednesday evening. Expect wind speeds over the outer waters to reach 30-35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots late Wednesday evening, and then spread into the inner waters overnight. There is the potential for gusts up to 50 knots over the outer waters Thursday.” Combined seas may reach 20-25 feet on Thursday. The situation eases a little Friday and Saturday as winds drop to SW 25-30 knots, but another system with potential storm force winds is projected for Sunday night into Monday.
On the Beach… Rain ending, light breeze, surf 7 feet (moderate).
* High surf is possible tomorrow and Thursday as seas are likely to reach or exceed 20 feet. A storm surge up to 2 feet is also expected Thursday through Friday resulting in abnormally high tides. South-facing exposed coastal areas will be especially vulnerable to damage at and around the midday high tides.
02/03 Tue 11:30 AM 8.87 H
02/03 Tue 06:15 PM -0.17 L
02/04 Wed 12:50 AM 7.68 H
02/04 Wed 06:13 AM 2.88 L
In Short: Rain subsiding, light winds, mostly cloudy, then wet and windy.