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Weather or Not: Cold Turkey

Chris Burns Weather

Friday, Nov. 28th – Lincoln County

Summary: A wet and windy Thanksgiving day. Nice to be indoors.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain…
Lincoln City: 58F/54F/31mph/1.03”
Depoe Bay: 56F/53F/37mph/0.79”
Newport: 55F/52F/41mph/0.69”
Waldport: 57F/54F/33mph/0.55”
Yachats: 57F/51F/36mph/1.05”

Forecast: The National Weather Service has updated its Special Weather Statement. Unseasonably mild weather WARNING NWS SWSto give way to much colder temperatures and possible low elevation snow beginning tonight. While Southwest Washington and Northwest Oregon have been experiencing record setting warmth for the last several days, a major change in the weather pattern is on the way. A strong cold front will move through the region from north to south tonight. While snow levels will initially be high, they will lower dramatically behind the front. As a result, post-frontal showers may fall as a mix of rain and snow down to the Valley floor late tonight and Saturday before the precipitation ends by Saturday night. Travel will become increasingly difficult through the Cascades and eventually the foothills tonight as rain changes to snow and starts to accumulate on area roads. Several inches of new snow are possible in these areas by the time snow tapers off Saturday night. Offshore flow will then develop Saturday night with gusty east winds continuing through Sunday. Areas in and around the western Columbia River Gorge may see wind gusts of 50-70 mph at times Sunday. The easterly flow will also usher in a period of much colder temperatures as it pulls in air from an arctic air mass on the east side of the Cascades.

For the Central Coast, Black Friday bargain hunters might want to look for a deal on raincoats as the next storm has arrived and it’s fairly wet. We could see up to another inch of rain with this weather system accompanied by a southwest breeze of 15-25 mph gusting to WON WINDY RAINY30-35; the mercury is expected to top out at 55-60F. This evening, we quit the unseasonably warm weather ‘cold turkey’ as low temps plummet to 40-45F, and the rain turns to showers. It looks like it’ll stop spitting rain before noon tomorrow, the Sun makes an appearance, too, but highs only reach 45F. Outlook is for a clear and frosty Saturday night as the thermometer falls to 30-32F and a chilly east wind kicks in. Sunny and cool on Sunday with east winds 15-25 mph gusting 30 or better, high 40-45F. Monday through Wednesday, a chance of rain and highs near 50F, lows of 40-45F.

Travel Today: In the Coast Range, rain with 50F. Valley destinations are expecting rain and highs of 55F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast is rain, temps near 55F. For the Cascades, rain; the snow level is at 6,000 feet.

Outlook for Holiday Travelers…
* The Coast Range could see some snow in the passes tonight, maybe an inch, and a chance for rain/snow showers tomorrow with highs of 35-40F; the snow level will be around 1,000 feet. Colder with icy conditions tomorrow night and then mostly sunny and a little warmer Sunday and Sunday night.

* The Willamette Valley may get a rain/snow mix tomorrow and perhaps some freezing rain on Portland Metro’s east side tomorrow night through Sunday night.

* The Columbia River Gorge will have strong and cold east winds with some type of wintery mix, i.e., ice, snow and/or freezing rain, tonight through Sunday night. Travel may become treacherous.

* The Cascade highways are in for a quick but healthy shot of snow, 3-6”, beginning late tonight and lasting through tomorrow night. The snow level drops to 2,500 feet tonight. Areas of ice are possible on the pavement Sunday and Sunday night.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 5”, a loss of 2” since yesterday; no overall change during the past seven days.

Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Hoodoo 0”/1”/Closed
Willamette Pass 0”/6”/Closed
Mt. Bachelor 0”/17”/Open, limited terrain
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/3”/Tubing Hill open
Mt. Hood Meadows 0”/10”/Closed, may open tomorrow
Timberline 0”/10”/Closed, may open tomorrow

Marine: The SW wind is blowing 20-25 knots this morning with rough and square seas 13 feet at 13 seconds. As of WON SCA8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to all recreational vessels, and to uninspected passenger vessels 40 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect through tomorrow morning. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas is in effect through this evening. For today’s kick-off of the presoak period for commercial crabbers, westerly winds 20-25 knots gusting 30 and 12 foot seas at 13 seconds. Tonight, look for NW wind 15-25 knots with 11 foot lumpy seas subsiding late to 8 feet. A N wind of 15-20 knots is on tap for tomorrow and seas remain rough, 10 feet at 10 seconds. Outlook is for change to a nor’easter on Sunday, 20-25 knots, and longer-period swells dropping to 5 feet. The weather moderates just in time for Monday’s opening of the offshore crab season; E winds 10-15 knots with 6 foot swells. A NE breeze is expected on Tuesday, 15-20 knots, and seas hover around 6 feet.

On the Beach… Rainy and breezy, surf 10-12 feet (high).
* Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches today. These areas may be periodically inundated by surf, especially during this afternoon’s high tide. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
* Tides
11/28 Fri 10:34 AM 3.21 L
11/28 Fri 04:23 PM 7.52 H
11/28 Fri 10:54 PM 0.33 L
11/29 Sat 05:50 AM 8.10 H

In Short: Wet, warm and windy, then quickly becoming colder with east winds.

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