Thursday, Nov. 27th – Lincoln County
Summary: Mostly cloudy yesterday, the rain arrived by evening and it was windy.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain…
Lincoln City: 62F/53F/34mph/0.29”
Depoe Bay: 61F/51F/40mph/0.74”
Regionally, several record high temperatures were set yesterday. Astoria hit 61F, breaking the old record of 60F in 1950; Portland, at 62F, topped 61F set in 1949; and Vancouver, Washington, was 62F, eclipsing the old mark of 60F in 1950.
Forecast: The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement. Unseasonably mild weather to give way to much colder temperatures and possible low elevation snow this weekend. For the past several days, Southwest Washington and Northwest Oregon have been experiencing record-setting warmth. However, a major weather pattern change is on the way. A sharp cold front is expected to move through the region from the north on Friday and Friday evening. Snow levels will be high initially, but will fall sharply behind the cold frontal passage. Post-frontal showers may fall as a mix of rain and snow down to the Valley floor at times Friday night and Saturday. Precipitation is expected to end by Saturday night. Gusty offshore flow is then expected to develop Saturday night and Sunday. This offshore flow will usher in frigid conditions as it pulls in air from an Arctic air mass on the east side of the Cascades.
For the Central Coast, we’re about to lose our unseasonably warm weather in a hurry, starting tomorrow night. For Thanksgiving today, however, we’ll remain relatively warm, 55F or so, windy with gusts to 35 mph, and another quarter inch of rain. The breeze eases a little tonight but rain continues, low temps around 50F. For Black Friday shoppers, you’ll need a raincoat as you traipse in and out of the stores; we’re expecting heavier rain tomorrow and still fairly breezy conditions. Outlook is for rapidly falling temperatures Friday night, then a chance of mixed rain and snow Saturday and Saturday night, but little or no snow accumulation is projected. Sunday should be mostly sunny and colder with east winds. And we’re back to warming with rain likely on Monday.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, rain, breezy with 50-55F. Valley destinations are expecting rain and highs of 50-55F. The Columbia River Gorge forecast is rain, temps near 55F. For the Cascades, rain; the freezing level is at 8,000 feet.
Outlook for Holiday Travelers… Cold air is predicted to begin fanning out across Western Oregon tomorrow night bringing quickly falling temperatures and possibly hazardous driving conditions. The Coast Range could see snow in the passes starting Friday night; the snow level will be around 1,000 feet. The Willamette Valley may also get a little snow or freezing rain on Saturday. Snow is likely in the Gorge and Cascades Saturday and Saturday night; the freezing level will be down to the surface. Look for colder temps, little precipitation but lingering icy areas Sunday through Sunday night. Carry chains or traction tires, and be prepared to use them.
Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 7”, the same as yesterday; an overall gain of 1″ during the past seven days.
Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Willamette Pass 0”/6”/Closed
Mt. Bachelor 0”/19”/Closed
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/10”/Tubing Hill open
Mt. Hood Meadows 0”/10”/Closed
Marine: The SW wind is blowing 20-25 knots gusting 30 this morning and combined seas are square, 11 feet at 11 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to all recreational vessels, and to uninspected passenger vessels 36 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect through tomorrow morning. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas is in effect through tomorrow evening. Gale force winds are projected to ease to SW 20-25 knots today with a few gusts near 30 and very rough seas 13 feet at 11 seconds. Tonight, expect southerlies 15-20 knots early but then rising again to 20-25 knots gusting 30 after midnight, seas 12 feet at 14 seconds. For the beginning of commercial crabbing’s presoak period tomorrow, S to SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30 along with seas of 11 feet at 13 seconds. Outlook is for a NW breeze 20-25 knots Saturday morning, easing to 15-20 knots in the afternoon and seas subsiding to 9 feet at 10 seconds. Sunday, E winds 20-25 knots, seas down to 6 feet. And for the crab season opening on Monday, NE wind 10-15 knots with a 6 foot swell and 4 foot windwaves.
Notices to Mariners… Heceta Head Light is currently out, and Yaquina Head Light remains temporarily extinguished.
On the Beach… Rainy and breezy, surf 10-12 feet (high).
* Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches today. These areas may be periodically inundated by surf, especially during this afternoon’s high tide. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
11/27 Thu 09:23 AM 3.31 L
11/27 Thu 03:07 PM 8.12 H
11/27 Thu 09:59 PM -0.26 L
11/28 Fri 04:56 AM 7.82 H
In Short: Wet and windy, then quickly becoming colder.