Wednesday, Nov. 19th – Lincoln County
Summary: The classic battle for atmospheric supremacy between entrenched cold, dry continental high pressure and warm, wet marine low pressure is still underway. The cloud ranks definitely gained a decent foothold yesterday, but east winds and sunbreaks continued to hang on. High temperatures climbed to the mid-50s in most areas of the Central Coast and the easterly breeze held the line at 15-20 mph with a few higher gusts. By evening, the clouds were coordinating their attack and a solid overcast was emplaced overnight. The mercury stayed above 40F. This morning we were right on the skirmish line as east winds persisted in holding off the advancing rain and southerly winds.
Past 24 Hours High/Low…
Lincoln City: 52F/43F
Depoe Bay: 55F/41F
Forecast: Put your money on the marine air eventually winning; it’s basically all over but the soakin’. Rain is looming offshore and it looks like it’ll come in over the top of the cooler air, so expect unusual conditions later today with rain and east winds. The thermometer should top out around 50F. Tonight, a few showers and we’ll finally see the wind go south, so to speak; low temps near 45F. There’s a 50-50 chance of rain tomorrow with highs of 55F. Outlook is for the first bona fide storm in a while making landfall on Friday packing southwest winds of 30-35 mph or higher and up to an inch of rain. Rain is then likely right on through the weekend and into next week as a seasonal storm pattern brings in a new front and waves of rain every 24 to 36 hours.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, rain developing with 50-55F. Valley destinations are expecting rain by this afternoon and highs of 45-55F. For the Cascades, spots of ice, a chance of rain, freezing rain and snow tonight; the freezing level is at 6,000 feet but dropping to pass level tomorrow. Travel through the Columbia River Gorge could become hazardous tonight and into tomorrow as freezing rain or sleet is possible.
Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 6”, no change since yesterday; an overall gain of 6″ during the past seven days.
Ski Report – New Snow/Base/Condition…
Willamette Pass 0”/3”/Closed
Mt. Bachelor 0”/23”/Opens November 26th
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl 0”/8”/Tubing Hill open weekends
Mt. Hood Meadows 0”/18”/Closed
Marine: Seas have risen to 7 feet at 10 seconds this morning and winds remain easterly 10-15 knots gusting 20. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to recreational vessels 16 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect from 10:00am this morning through late tonight. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas is in effect from 10:00am this morning through tomorrow morning. S winds climbing to 20-25 knots gusting 30 today with seas building to 10 feet at 13 seconds. Tonight, rough square seas 12 feet at 12 seconds and SW winds 15-20 knots, easing after midnight. For tomorrow, expect southerlies 10-15 knots gusting 20 with seas subsiding to 9 feet. Outlook is for a full-blown gale on Friday as S winds escalate quickly to 30-35 knots gusting 40 and combined rough seas grow to 15 feet. The weekend looks rough, too; Saturday and Sunday, a westerly breeze of 20-25 knots with seas 14-16 feet.
On the Beach… Rain by afternoon, breezy, surf 7-10 feet (moderate).
* For a safe and enjoyable time on the Central Coast, the Oregon Parks & Recreation Department offers these Beach Safety Tips.
11/19 Wed 09:32 AM 8.49 H
11/19 Wed 04:17 PM 0.54 L
11/19 Wed 10:39 PM 6.67 H
11/20 Thu 03:53 AM 2.70 L
In Short: Rain developing, windy, warming, then stormy.