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Weather or Not: Cool Change Coming

Chris Burns Weather

Sunday, Nov. 9th – Lincoln County

Summary: Mostly sunny yesterday, highs near 60F, moderate west wind.

Past 24 Hours High/Low…
Lincoln City: 59F/48F
Depoe Bay: 61F/45F
Newport: 57F/43F
Waldport: 60F/44F
Yachats: 63F/49F

Forecast: The Northwest is about to get caught in a squeeze play between the remnants of Supertyphoon Nuri over the North Pacific and very cold arctic air coming down from Canada. The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement for much colder temperatures area-wide, windy conditions and a chance for Winter precipitation falling in Valley locations mainly in and near the Columbia River Gorge late Wednesday and Thursday. A cold front and associated arctic air mass are diving southwestward out of the Canadian Rockies bringing much colder temperatures to the region beginning Tuesday. Many locations will experience their first freeze of the year on Tuesday night. Considerable uncertainty exists but confidence is slowly growing that a low pressure system will move towards the Oregon Coast on Wednesday and spread precipitation over the area late Wednesday into Thursday. There is a chance that some combination of snow, sleet and freezing rain will fall through the Gorge and possibly even in the northern Willamette Valley during this period (the earliest recorded measureable snowfall in Portland was on November 10th, 1911). Please continue to monitor the latest weather forecasts as additional details emerge.

Meanwhile, our local forecast in the near term is for light rain turning to showers early today, mostly cloudy with a chance of sunbreaks later and highs around 55F. There’s a slight chance of showers tonight, patchy fog and low temps in the mid-40s. Gradual clearing is expected WON SHOWERSafter morning fog and low clouds tomorrow; high 55F and light north winds. Outlook is for a significant change to brisk and breezy on Veterans Day (Tuesday) as the cool east wind we’ve talked about arrives locally, blowing 15-25 mph gusting 30-35, sunny but the mercury only rising to the upper-40s and dropping into the mid-30s overnight. Mostly cloudy and windy Wednesday, high 50F with rain developing by nightfall, lows of 35-40F, followed by unsettled weather through the rest of the week.

Travel: In the Coast Range today, rain developing and 50-55F. Valley destinations are expecting rain with highs of 55F. For the Cascades, rain; the snow level is above 8,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is mostly wet pavement today and tonight. In the week ahead, motorists should be prepared for Winter-like driving conditions in many areas of Northwest Oregon. Cascade snow levels are projected to drop to 2,500 feet by midweek.

Cascadia: A magnitude 3.5 earthquake occurred 270 miles west of Waldport at 4:24am this morning. The epicenter was within a few miles of a 4.0 shaker recorded last Sunday; both temblors were along the Blanco Fracture Zone on the southwestern edge of the Juan de Fuca tectonic plate.

Marine: Seas are 7-8 feet at 11 seconds this morning and winds are light easterly near shore (the anemometer on the WON MARINE WXStonewall Bank weather buoy is temporarily out of commission, so we do not have current offshore wind speeds). As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to recreational vessels 16 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. For today, expect W winds 15-20 knots veering to NW this afternoon and seas building to 9 feet at 13 seconds. Tonight, the breeze veers to N 15-20 knots easing after midnight. Light northerlies are predicted for tomorrow with an 8 foot swell. Outlook is for a big change this week to easterlies, beginning Tuesday and lasting though Thursday. E to SE winds 20-25 knots are forecast during this period with choppy seas 6-9 feet.

On the Beach… Rain early, mostly cloudy, surf 6-8 feet (moderate).
* For a safe and enjoyable time on the Central Coast, the Oregon Parks & Recreation Department offers these Beach Safety Tips.
* Tides
11/09 Sun 01:01 PM 9.09 H
11/09 Sun 07:54 PM -0.88 L
11/10 Mon 02:41 AM 7.42 H
11/10 Mon 07:51 AM 3.26 L

In Short: Rain, mixed sky, then clearing, windy and much cooler.

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