WEATHER IN LINCOLN COUNTY

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Weather or Not: The Big Blow

Chris Burns Weather

Sunday, October 26th – Lincoln County

Summary: It was indeed a real barnburner, but top wind speeds yesterday were very close to our forecasts over the preceding days (we’d advised preparing for 60 mph gusts in Central Coast communities and 75 mph on beaches and headlands). Yachats had the highest local gust at 64 mph and the Yaquina Bay Bridge recorded 76 mph, so projections were fairly accurate. The short-lived windstorm ramped-up quickly before noon and the Fat Lady was already singing by 3:00pm. There was widespread damage locally, though nothing terribly severe. Utility lines and limbs/trees came down across highways, roads and streets, but quick action by emergency responders and good Samaritans kept things moving and, for most of us, the lights stayed on. Rainfall was less than predictions of 1-2″; our actual totals were more like half an inch. The wind faded quickly through the evening and overnight, replaced by cool, unstable air that produced a number of lightning flashes and rumbles of thunder. This morning, it was showery with thunderstorms in the area, nearly calm and low temps were in the 50s.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain…
Lincoln City: 62F/54F/48mph/0.58”
Depoe Bay: 60F/53F/56mph/0.47”
Newport: 63F/52F/63mph/0.35”
Waldport: 62F/53F/56mph/0.43”
Yachats: 62F/55F/64mph/0.51”

Regionally… Along the Oregon Coast, the Cape Blanco Coast Guard station reported 94 mph for the overall highest gust, it hit 87 mph on Cape Meares and 85 mph at Sea Lion Caves. Mary’s Peak east of Newport in the Coast Range recorded a top gust of 91 mph. Gusts in the Willamette Valley were 40-55 mph causing power outages and significant tree damage.

Forecast: Showers and possible thunderstorms are expected today, but we should also have some sunshine along with light winds and high temps of 55-WON SUN-RAIN60F. A chance of showers lingers tonight and the mercury drops to 45-50F. Tomorrow, look for a mix of sun and clouds, with winds remaining light and the thermometer rising to about 60F. Outlook is for another storm Monday night and Tuesday, though not as strong as yesterday’s. South winds rising to 20-25 mph gusting 40 and total rainfall of about an inch. Wednesday we’ll be between systems and showery, with the next storm predicted to arrive on the Central Coast sometime late Thursday or early Friday.

Halloween… Showers likely, light winds and a First Quarter Moon.

Travel: In the Coast Range today, showers and 55F. Valley destinations are also expecting showers with highs of 55-60F. For the Cascades, at 8:00am, Highway 20 at Santiam Pass had 3 inches of snow on the pavement and it was snowing hard; ODOT advises carrying chains or traction tires*. Highway 26 was above freezing with rain at Government Camp. Cascades forecast today is windy with rain and snow showers; the snow level is down to 4,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers generally is wet pavement, but with 1-3 inches of snow possible on Cascade highway passes.

* It is indeed time to start carrying chains or traction tires if you’re motoring over the Cascades. NOTE: Under Oregon’s Chain Law, running studded tires on your vehicle is unlawful until next Saturday, November 1st, but ODOT allows some wiggle room when conditions necessitate an early start to the snow season.

Marine: SW winds are down to 10-20 knots this morning but seas are rough, 16 feet at 11 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe WON SCABay and Yaquina Bay bars are closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Small Craft Advisory for seas remains in effect through this evening. While seas slowly subside today, they’ll still be pretty rough for most of the day, squaring to 11 feet at 11 seconds this afternoon. Winds should ease to W 10-15 knots. Tonight, expect light westerlies 5-15 knots and seas dropping to 9 feet at 10 seconds. S wind returns tomorrow, rising to 10-15 knots gusting 20 with seas around 7 feet. Outlook is for another gale coming in Monday night into Tuesday packing S winds 30-35 knots gusting 40 and combined rough seas building to 13 feet. Wednesday and Thursday, southerlies 15-25 knots, with seas 11 feet subsiding to 7 feet.

On the Beach… Showers, sunbreaks, light breeze, surf 10-12 feet (moderate).
* Surf may rebuild to high levels Tuesday.
* Tides
10/26 Sun 07:56 AM 2.80 L
10/26 Sun 01:57 PM 8.88 H
10/26 Sun 08:49 PM -0.58 L
10/27 Mon 03:30 AM 7.11 H

In Short: Showers, partial clearing, light wind, then stormy.

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