Saturday, October 25th – Lincoln County
Storm Update – 10:00am: High winds have arrived on the Central Coast and gusts are building rapidly. Very strong southerly winds are already hitting the southern part of the coast; Cape Blanco just had a gust of 87 mph and other areas of southwest Oregon have seen gusts to 100 mph this morning. This is an unusual wind event in that it is now expected to also affect most of Northwest Oregon including the Willamette Valley, Cascades and Coast Range. Winds should peak by early afternoon, but it’ll still be breezy through most of the day.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain…
Lincoln City: 56F/53F/0.92”
Depoe Bay: 56F/53F/0.62”
Forecast: The National Weather Service has issued a High Wind Warning, in effect now through 5:00pm this afternoon. South winds 30-40 mph with gusts to 60 mph for Central Coast communities and gusts to 75 mph along beaches and headlands. Timing of the strongest winds for our area is between 10:00am and 3:00pm. Tree damage and power outages are possible today in these winds. Warning locations include Lincoln City, Depoe Bay, Newport, Waldport and Yachats. (For more information on wind warnings, see Weather Factoid below.)
Along with today’s high winds, there’s another decent-sized dose of moisture coming, maybe 1-2 inches total, and high temperatures in the upper-50s. Steady rain turns to showers tonight, the breeze eases to westerly 15-25 mph gusting 45, and lows should be around 50F. Showers continue tomorrow with light winds and a high of 55F or so. Outlook is for a slight chance of rain on Monday, but another storm is projected to hit the Central Coast Monday night into Tuesday. That’s the system carrying remnants of Hurricane Ana and forecasters are still struggling with how this will affect the rain and winds. Showers are likely for the remainder of the workweek ahead.
Halloween… A 50-50 chance of rain with light winds.
Travel: A High Wind Warning is in effect for the Coast Range, Willamette Valley and Cascades today. South winds 25-35 mph with widespread gusts to 50, possibly some to 60 mph in the Valley while the Coast Range and Cascades could see blasts of 70 mph.
In the Coast Range today, rain, high winds and 55-60F. Valley destinations are also expecting rain and high winds with highs of 60F. For the Cascades, occasional rain, windy; the snow level is at 8,000 feet, but dropping to 4,500 feet tomorrow. Outlook for weekend travelers generally is wet pavement and breezy, but with 1-3 inches of snow possible on Cascade highway passes Sunday. It’s probably time to start thinking about carrying traction tires or chains if you’re motoring over the Cascades. NOTE: Under Oregon’s Chain Law, running studded tires on your vehicle is unlawful until next Saturday, November 1st.
Marine: SE winds are 10-15 knots inshore, but blowing 20-25 knots offshore at Stonewall Bank this morning and seas are rough, 13 feet at 10 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to recreational vessels 30 feet and less, and to uninspected passenger vessels 26 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is closed to recreational vessels 26 feet and less. A Gale Warning is in effect through this afternoon for SW winds rising to 30-40 knots gusting 45 along with steep and very rough seas building to 18-20 feet at 12 seconds this afternoon, rain and isolated thunderstorms. Tonight, look for a westerly breeze of 25-35 knots early, then easing after midnight to 15-20 knots gusting 25 with combined seas 18 feet at 12 seconds, dropping to 13 feet overnight. Lighter conditions are expected tomorrow as the W wind falls to 10-15 knots gusting 20 and the swell subsides to about 9 feet at 10 seconds. Outlook is for S winds 10-20 knots on Monday, followed by another gale Monday night into Tuesday. Light southerlies are forecast for Wednesday, and the swell drops to 7-9 feet.
On the Beach… Strong winds, rain, surf 15-18 feet (high).
* Stay off of jetties and offshore rocks, and be extremely watchful on rocky shores or sandy beaches today, especially during this afternoon’s high tide. These areas may be periodically inundated by surf. Be aware of sneaker waves that will be significantly higher than those that precede or follow them. Never turn your back on the ocean.
* Watch out for falling trees and flying debris on Central Coast headlands during the high winds today.
10/25 Sat 07:19 AM 2.52 L
10/25 Sat 01:21 PM 8.91 H
10/25 Sat 08:07 PM -0.53 L
10/26 Sun 02:42 AM 7.26 H
In Short: Very windy, rain, showers, then stormy.
Weather Factoid: How does the National Weather Service (NWS) determine when to put out a warning? The criteria for NWS to issue a High Wind Warning are quite specific: the hazardous wind event has to be expected or already occurring, and must be capable of generating sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more. Today’s warning meets all of the NWS criteria. It should be noted, however, that benchmark wind speeds differ from state to state. The above standards, 40mph/58mph, are required for a warning in Oregon, but those numbers could be substantially different in other areas of the country that are frequently subjected to higher or lower average wind speeds.