Tuesday, October 21st – Lincoln County
Summary: Yesterday unfolded as predicted with everything from sunshine to showers.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Gust/Rain…
Lincoln City: 62F/57F/22mph/0.66”
Depoe Bay: 62F/55F/27mph/0.32”
Forecast: The first major storm system of Autumn is predicted to arrive on the Central Coast this afternoon, packing winds of 50-70 mph and heavy rain. We could receive as much as 2-4 inches of rainfall by Thursday. Another storm may impact our area this weekend.
HIGH WIND WARNING
The National Weather Service in Portland has issued a High Wind Warning in effect from 3:00pm this afternoon to noon Wednesday for the Central Oregon Coast near beaches and headlands.
* Winds: near beaches and headlands, sustained south winds of 30 to 40 mph with gusts of 60-70 mph. In Central Coast communities, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50-55 mph.
* Timing: beginning late this afternoon and continuing until midday Wednesday.
* Locations include: Lincoln City, Depoe Bay, Newport, Waldport and Yachats.
* Impacts: the winds will likely cause difficulties for those accessing beaches and headland areas; tree damage is possible on the headlands.
A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
The National Weather Service has also issued a Special Weather Statement for a wet and windy week ahead for Southwest Washington and Northwest Oregon.
A strong and wet Pacific frontal system will bring periods of heavy rain and gusty winds to much of Southwest Washington and Northwest Oregon starting today, continuing throughout the midweek period before the front finally exits to our south and east late Wednesday night or Thursday. This frontal system also has a solid tap to tropical moisture, which will enhance rainfall near the front as it slowly moves through the area tonight through early Thursday. Rain will be heavy at times along the coast and in the higher terrain, and possibly in the inland valleys as well. Currently, rainfall totals of around 2 inches are expected in the inland valleys by Thursday afternoon. Coastal locations are expected to receive 2 to 4 inches of rain, and 3 to 6 inches of rain are forecast for most of the Coast Range and Cascades.
Leaves downed by the rain and gusty winds may clog storm drains and exacerbate minor urban flooding issues as the rain becomes heavier Wednesday into Wednesday night. Additionally, there is a possibility of minor flooding on some faster-responding small streams and rivers due to the heavy rain. Burn scar areas from recent wildfires in the Cascades may also be subject to debris flows. All of this will be monitored closely over the coming days.
After a lull on Thursday, it is starting to appear that another strong system could affect at least part of the area Friday into this weekend. Details on this system are still quite uncertain but it appears Southwest Washington and Northwest Oregon is in for a fairly extended period of wet and unsettled Fall weather.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, showers, windy by late this afternoon and 55-60F. Valley destinations are expecting rain with highs of 60-65F. For the Cascades, rain; the snow level is at 6,000 feet. Outlook for all areas of Northwest Oregon is strong winds and heavy rain possibly causing downed trees and power lines, debris flows and localized flooding on streets, roads and highways throughout the week.
Marine: S winds are already up to 20-25 knots this morning and seas are running 13 feet at 14 seconds. As of 7:30am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect until 1:00pm this afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas runs until 1:00pm this afternoon. Then, a Gale Warning will be hoisted from 1:00pm this afternoon through Wednesday morning. For today, SW wind 15-20 knots with gusts to 25 in the morning then becoming S 25-30 knots with gusts to 40 in the afternoon, and combined square seas 14 feet with a dominant period of 14 seconds. Tonight, S wind 30-35 knots becoming 30-40 knots after midnight with gusts to 45 knots and combined very rough seas 17 feet at 12 seconds. Tomorrow, southerlies 25-30 knots, easing to 20-25 knots in the afternoon with gusts to 35 knots and combined steep seas 17 feet at 12 seconds. Outlook is for southerlies 15-25 knots, seas 10-15 feet with another storm system possible later in the week.
On the Beach… Rain, very windy, surf 12-15 feet (high).
* High Wind Warning in effect for beaches and headlands.
* Surf may rise to dangerous levels this week.
10/21 Tue 11:20 AM 8.03 H
10/21 Tue 05:42 PM 0.91 L
10/21 Tue 11:55 PM 7.12 H
10/22 Wed 05:37 AM 1.84 L
In Short: High winds, heavy rain, then continued stormy.