Friday, October 3rd – Lincoln County
Summary: Another Summer-like October day graced the Central Coast on Thursday. High temperatures came in at projections in the mid-60s, no precipitation was recorded, northerly winds were light at 10-15 mph and skies remained clear throughout the past 24 hours. We began seeing a definitive change after midnight with the arrival of offshore, easterly winds 10-15 mph gusting into the low-20s. These winds are generally indicative of warmer weather, which was reflected in our low temperatures overnight. It was 55F at 10:00pm, but had risen to 60F by daybreak. So, are we on the cusp of an Indian Summer? (See Weather Factoid below.)
Past 24 Hours High/Low…
Lincoln City: 67F/53F
Depoe Bay: 67F/50F
Forecast: The situation is ripe for a couple of unseasonably warm days – east winds, clear skies and a lobe of thermal low pressure pushing up from California. Today will probably be the warmest of the stretch as the mercury climbs to 75-80F, along with east winds of 10-15 mph. For tonight, mostly clear skies and the breeze backs to northeast, sending temperatures down to 50-55F. North winds are predicted tomorrow and the thermometer should reflect this altered direction by topping out about 70-75F. Outlook is for continued dry and mostly clear with afternoon highs slowly dropping back into the mid-60s as the week progresses. Long-range forecasts are still toying with the idea of some light rain by next Friday or Saturday.
Travel: In the Coast Range today, mostly sunny and 80F. Valley destinations will have sunny skies with highs of 75-80F. For the Cascades, sunny; the freezing level is at 14,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is sunny and warm with dry pavement.
Marine: NNE winds are 10-15 knots near shore this morning, but it’s calm out at the Rockpile; rounded seas are running 4 feet at 14 seconds. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Mainly NE winds today 5-15 knots with a NW swell of 3 feet and 3 foot windwaves. Look for northerlies tonight 10-15 knots, seas 4 feet. A little breezier tomorrow as N winds rise to 10-15 knots gusting 20, generating combined lumpy seas of 5 feet. Outlook is for N winds 15-20 knots and choppy seas 4-6 feet Sunday through Tuesday. NOTICE TO MARINERS: Yaquina Bay Channel Buoy 11 has been relighted. The dredge Karen is scheduled to be working in the Depoe Bay Boat Harbor until October 6th. Karen monitors VHF Channels 8 & 16.
On the Beach… Sunny, warm, light breeze, surf 2-4 feet (low).
* For a safe and enjoyable time on the Central Coast, the Oregon Parks & Recreation Department offers these Beach Safety Tips.
10/03 Fri 08:55 AM 6.84 H
10/03 Fri 02:23 PM 3.00 L
10/03 Fri 08:20 PM 7.68 H
10/04 Sat 03:06 AM 0.27 L
In Short: Mainly clear, warm, east winds, then gradual cooling.
Weather Factoid: Is our current weather what’s called an Indian Summer? Well, maybe. There are very specific though conflicting guidelines for it. The National Weather Service defines Indian Summer as weather conditions that are sunny and clear with above normal temperatures, occurring late-September to mid-November. However, the Old Farmer’s Almanac describes the criteria this way. “As well as being warm, the atmosphere during Indian Summer is hazy or smoky, there is no wind, the barometer is standing high, and the nights are clear and chilly. The time of occurrence is important, too. The warm days must follow a spell of cold weather or a good hard frost. These conditions must occur between St. Martin’s Day (November 11th) and November 20th. For over 200 years, The Old Farmer’s Almanac has adhered to the saying, “If All Saints Day (November 1st) brings out Winter, St. Martin’s Day brings out Indian Summer.”