Monday, Feb. 10th – Lincoln County
Summary: The Central Coast won the sweepstakes for the best weather in the state yesterday. A fair-sized hole in the clouds opened up between weather systems, starting at Yachats in the early morning and working its way north to Lincoln City before noon. (See Weather Factoid below.) So, unlike the rest of Western Oregon, still in the grip of the icy Winter storm, we had oodles of sunshine and much higher temps, up into the 50s, with Waldport the warmest. Light winds enhanced the day for anyone on the beaches or elsewhere outdoors, and rainfall in the morning hours was barely above trace amounts if any fell at all. Overnight, lows were near 40F, and overcast skies returned along with some light rain.
Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain…
Lincoln City: 50F/38F/0.01”
Depoe Bay: 53F/39F/0.02”
Storm Summary (Snow [s] and freezing rain ice [i] depths from around Western Oregon between Feb. 6th and 8th)…
Newport: s-3”, i-.35”
Blodgett: s-11”, i-.50”
Philomath: s-15”, i-.25”
Corvallis: s-15”, i-.15”
Albany: s-15”, i-.50”
Salem: s-12”, i-.25”
Eugene: s-7”, i-.50”
Portland: s-5”, i-.30
Forecast: Wet, warm, windy. We could probably stop right there for both the short-term and long-term forecasts. But, here are a few details, anyway. If you’re after one of the antique Japanese glass floats on the sands of Lincoln City today, a raincoat will be in order. High in the upper-40s with southwest winds 15-25 mph gusting 30. There could be a short break in the rain late this afternoon and into this evening. Tonight, more rain, lighter wind, and a low of 45F. Tomorrow, rain and increasing winds, maybe gusting 25 mph, high near 50F. Outlook is for a bigger storm Tuesday night and Wednesday with up to 2 inches of rain and south winds 35-45 mph gusting as high as 60. More storms are tracking toward us for Thursday and Saturday. High and low temperatures through the period in the mid-40s.
Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open but hovering around the freezing mark in the higher elevations this morning, so heads-up for icy areas. The Coast-to-Valley routes should be warming to 45-50F later today. In the Valley itself, Corvallis is now above freezing but under a Dense Fog Advisory and many roads are slushy. Portland is still receiving freezing rain in some areas, though points south along I-5 are getting regular rain now and the pavement is clearing. In the Cascades, snow is predicted at pass level on and off through the entire week.
Cascades Snow Pack… 78”, a loss of 3” since yesterday.
Marine: The wind is up this morning, from the SW 20-25 knots, and seas are around 6 feet with 4 foot wind waves. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect through this afternoon. Expect southerlies 15-20 knots gusting 25 today, seas to 7 feet. The SW breeze should ease to about 15 knots tonight, seas holding at 7 feet. Tomorrow, S wind 15-20 knots rising to 20-25 knots by afternoon, seas 7-8 feet. Outlook is for a full-blown gale Tuesday night and Wednesday. SW winds rising to 30-40 knots with higher gusts and combined seas 11 feet building to 18 feet. Another system roars in from the south Thursday and Friday packing winds of 25-30 knots and seas 12-14 feet. There could be wave heights approaching 20 feet by the weekend.
On the Beach… Rain, breezy, surf 3-4 feet (low).
02/10 Mon 08:48 AM 8.24 H
02/10 Mon 03:55 PM 0.6 L
02/10 Mon 10:39 PM 6.62 H
02/11 Tue 03:36 AM 3.67 L
In Short: Wet, warm and windy.
Weather Factoid: Sky cover, basically the extent of clouds versus clearing, is the most problematic part of the weather to predict. Over the years, computers and meteorologists have gotten pretty darned good at forecasting surface-level temperatures, winds and precipitation. But, because of the dynamics of temperature fluctuations in the upper atmosphere and sometimes offbeat dew points, clouds form and abate now and again seemingly at random. We make our best guess (and that’s all it is, by the way). Even with 21st Century computing power and decades of experience, whether we see clouds or clearing is often a crap shoot.