Saturday, December 14th
Summary: A week ago today, we were snow covered and 17F. A week from today, Winter starts. Go figure. Obviously, calendars and weather aren’t always aligned. It’s well over twice as warm this morning as it was last Saturday. Yesterday’s high around 50F felt more like early Spring than Winter. The last of the rain showers petered out by dark and the skies cleared overnight. There were foggy patches around with some locations reporting lower visibilities than others. Lows this morning dropped close to 40F, and clouds from an approaching warm front put us under The Big Top again. Winds have remained light.
Past 24 hours high/low…
Lincoln City/Depoe Bay: 51F/42F
Forecast: Though we were hoping to see a little more sunshine early today in advance of the clouds, the minor weather system on its way in is moving right along. Expect mostly overcast for the day, high near 50F, light winds. There remains a chance for some light rain tonight into tomorrow, though most of the moisture will probably come ashore north of the Central Coast. Low tonight again about 40F and no wind to speak of. Outlook is for the clouds and possible precipitation to tail off through the day tomorrow, with abundant sunshine Monday and Tuesday. Highs in the upper 40s, lows in the lower 40s. We’re still eyeing a stronger system on Wednesday and Thursday with a good chance of rain, though not drenching, and wind, though not howling.
Travel: No serious issues through the weekend. Coast to Valley Highways 18, 20 and 34 are foggy in spots, between 34F and 36F this morning and warming. ODOT advises that there is dense fog on Highway 34 near Alsea Mountain summit. Cascade passes are well below the current 10,000 foot freezing level.
Marine: Commercial crabbers and others on the water will find E winds this morning veering to S 5 knots, then rising to 10-15 knots later this afternoon, seas 9 feet, subsiding to 7 feet. Depoe Bay bar is restricted to vessels 30 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. The front coming through tonight could bring S gusts to 20 knots, but seas down to 6 feet. Tomorrow the big story will be the building seas as a swell train arrives and waves top 12 feet, though winds are forecast to be reasonable at S 5-10 knots with gusts to 15. Outlook is for northerlies Sunday night through Wednesday, seas subsiding from a peak of 13 feet to 7 feet by mid-week before another storm system arrives with increasing seas and NW wind potential into the small craft advisory range.
On the Beach… Cloudy, light winds, surf 8 feet dropping to 4 feet, building tomorrow.
12/14 Sat 09:33 AM 9.22 H
12/14 Sat 04:37 PM -0.26 L
12/14 Sat 11:17 PM 6.88 H
12/15 Sun 04:09 AM 3.51 L
In Short: Cloudy, chance of light rain, then sunny and drier.
White Christmas Countdown: Thought it might be fun to gauge the accuracy of long term forecasting. The first of the 10-day outlooks is out this morning so each day now we’ll be looking ahead at weather for December 24th-25th. Today’s best guess: Mostly cloudy, chance of rain, high of 48F, low of 40F.